Topic: Weekly FX Report
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Central bank frenzy
Global MacroForward guidance fades from Central Banks playbook Fed cuts, but internal divisions expected to intensify.
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Fed gets all all-clear to cut
Markets brace for Fed rate cuts as inflation cools and growth slows – setting the stage for a policy pivot and potential dollar weakness.
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The long-end lurch
Global yields are surging – U.S. 30-years briefly topped 5%, UK gilts hit 1998 highs, and Japan’s costs climbed. Sterling’s drop and France’s budget tensions add to the strain. Yet, soft U.S. jobs data fuels Fed rate-cut bets, keeping risk appetite afloat ahead of key inflation numbers.
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Bond voyage and beyond
French bonds slide ahead of Sept 8 vote, Fed tensions flare, long Treasuries slump, dollar firms. Stocks rally, volatility stays low – key U.S. data next week could shift the tide.
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Fed’s headache: Inflation and job concerns grow
Markets await Powell’s Jackson Hole speech amid inflation concerns and rate cut hopes. Global PMIs beat expectations, but diplomacy stalled after the Trump-Putin summit failed to yield a Ukraine deal. The dollar rose on Fed minutes, while the Kiwi fell after a rate cut.
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Data drives the drift
Markets rallied as the U.S.-China tariff truce was extended, CPI stayed tame, but surging PPI stirred rate-cut debate. Fed policy remains volatile, the dollar faces renewed yield sensitivity, and global currencies reacted to central bank moves and upbeat UK data.