Region: Europe
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De-escalation bias still alive
Markets pivot as geopolitical tensions ease. Up seven days straight. Sterling rally faces macro reality.
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Back to de‑escalation
Blockade without fire keeps markets steady. The euro’s quiet comeback. Sterling jumps back to pre-war level.
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Weekend talks fail
Oil surges again as peace talks break down. Escalation returns but euro stays calm. Risk-off shakes sterling – barely.
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Markets test the durability of de‑escalation
Lower yields, lower dollar, despite mixed signals. Euro rides fragile optimism and hawkish tailwinds. Sterling’s diverging paths.
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Is optimism outrunning reality?
Ceasefire euphoria faces reckoning. EURUSD range still in check. Sterling’s relief rally versus rate repricing.
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Ceasefire sparks global risk rally as energy prices plunge
Dollar gaps lower as oil collapses. Euro stages strong bounce above 1.17. Sterling surges over 1% against the dollar but risks loom versus the euro.