2 minute read

Aussie jumps to three-week highs after RBA hike

Chinese yuan remains pressured by worries about a slowing economy.

Aussie jumps after RBA “surprise”

The Australian dollar spiked higher yesterday after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced another surprise 25-basis point rate hike taking official rates to an 11-year high of 4.10%.

The market had only seen a 33% chance of a hike going into the announcement, but last week’s higher inflation reading, and a 5.75% increase in the Australian minimum wage announced on Friday, spurred the RBA to act.

The AUD/USD jumped higher with the pair up 0.9% as it hit three-week highs.

The Aussie was higher in other markets with the AUD/EUR up 1.1% and the AUD/JPY up 0.9%.

Australian news remains in focus today with RBA governor Philip Lowe due to speak at 9.20am AEST while March-quarter GDP is released at 11.30am. The market is looking for annual GDP growth to gain 2.4% – down from 2.7% in the December quarter.

USD drifts higher as markets fall into lull

In other markets, the US dollar drifted higher, in mostly quieter trade. The USD index gained 0.2%.

After recent fireworks in markets, driven around concerns about the US debt ceiling, investors have turned more relaxed, with US shares virtually unmoved overnight.

The S&P 500 gained 0.2% while the Nasdaq was flat.

Asian FX markets were stronger. The NZD/USD gained 0.1% while USD/SGD fell 0.1%.

China trade due

The USD/CNH was stronger, however, with the pair up 0.1%.

The Chinese yuan remains pressured by worries about a slowing economy.

Today’s trade balance number, due around 1.00pm AEST, might provide further evidence of a Chinese slowdown, with last month’s release seeing a 7.9% fall in imports over the previous 12 months. 

Exports remained positive at 8.0% but were down sharply from the previous month’s 15% gain.

Aussie jumps after RBA “surprise”

Table: seven-day rolling currency trends and trading ranges

Key global risk events

Calendar: 5 – 9 June

All times AEST

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*The FX rates published are provided by Convera’s Market Insights team for research purposes only. The rates have a unique source and may not align to any live exchange rates quoted on other sites. They are not an indication of actual buy/sell rates, or a financial offer.

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