Region: Europe
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Improved US outlook gets the Fed’s stamp
Fed revives the macro story, dollar stays muted. Technicals cool off, bullish bias unchanged. Pound riding global flows without domestic fuel.
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Dollar drama reignites FX volatility
Pound powers to 4-year peak. Dollar breakout ahead of Fed Day. Dollar distress, euro excess.
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Intervention fears eclipse fundamentals
Policy fears overpower fundamentals. Euro gains dollar drives. Pound near 4-month high.
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Dollar on the back foot
Two headwinds, one amplifier. Sterling finds lift only on big (positive) surprises. Fresh 4-year highs in sight.
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Fundamentals back in focus
Green shoots break through UK gloom. Positioning into the Fed meeting. Still no break from 1.17.
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De-escalation offers relief
“TACO” trade still alive and well. Euro caught between sentiment and fundamentals. Sterling’s bounce meets macro reality.