2 minute read

China GDP miss hits markets

Aussie weaker in line with losses across Asia.

China data points to slow recovery

FX markets were mostly weaker across Asia yesterday after Chinese GDP numbers – along with other key Chinese data – missed forecasts.

China’s annual economic growth was reported at 6.3% in the 12 months to 30 June – below the 7.3% forecast – as China recovered from last year’s lockdowns at a slower than expected pace. The quarterly growth rate, at 0.8%, was above the 0.5% forecast.

However, more forward-looking indicators were also disappointing, with retail sales at 3.1% in annual terms (versus 3.2% forecast) and fixed investment at 3.5% (versus 3.8% forecast).

Industrial production, at 4.4% in annual terms, was better than expected.

Aussie weaker in line with losses across Asia 

The poor Chinese data hit FX markets across the region.

The AUD/USD extended losses from last week’s highs with the AUD/USD down 0.3%.

The NZD/USD underperformed with the pair down 0.7%.

The Chinese yuan was weaker with the USD/CNH up 0.3%.

The Singapore dollar, closely tied to global trade volumes, was weaker, as the USD/SGD climbed 0.1%.

US data in focus

US data is in focus tonight with the US economy recently returning to its position as the clear global outperformer.

US retail sales for June is out at 10.30pm AEST with the May result producing a better-than-expected result for the first time since January. US industrial production is also due tonight.

Otherwise, the Reserve Bank of Australia minutes are due at 11.30am while Canadian inflation is released at 10.30pm.

Aussie lower as China GDP misses 

Table: seven-day rolling currency trends and trading ranges

Key global risk events

Calendar: 17 – 21 July

All times AEST

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*The FX rates published are provided by Convera’s Market Insights team for research purposes only. The rates have a unique source and may not align to any live exchange rates quoted on other sites. They are not an indication of actual buy/sell rates, or a financial offer.

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