Kevin Ford, Lead FX and Macro Strategist

Kevin draws 10+ years in fintech and investment roles, from product management to strategy. With master’s degrees in business and financial math, he brings both experience and academic depth to the table.

Payrolls restore dollar support but upside narrows

Payrolls restore dollar support but upside narrows. Private-sector weakness widens loonie’s US divide. Banxico cut narrows Carry but hold signal helps.

November 9, 2026
Payrolls revive dollar and December hike bets

Payrolls revive dollar and December hike bets. Jobs divergence pushes USD/CAD back above 1.40. Banxico cut exposes peso’s shrinking carry cushion.

November 6, 2026
Seven post-midterm risks reshape the dollar outlook

Seven post-midterm risks reshape the dollar outlook. Inflation lands, euro gains elusive. Oil retreat leaves CAD rally short of conviction.

November 5, 2026
Democrats sweep, blue wave puts dollar in the red

Democrats sweep, blue wave puts dollar in the red. Trade relief gives loonie room to run. Banxico hold to leave peso rally exposed.

November 4, 2026
Oil and midterms put dollar support to test

Cooling oil Premium checks dollar momentum. Oil retreat exposes loonie’s yield disadvantage. Oil relief lifts peso but carry still erodes.

November 3, 2026
Midterms and payrolls test dollar’s yield support

Midterms and payrolls test dollar’s yield support. BoC hike narrows gap but loonie remains constrained. Shrinking carry keeps peso under pressure.

November 2, 2026

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