Region: Europe
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Rate expectations & rallying equities support sterling
Proud pound awaits inflation data, the euro shrugs off cooling German producer prices, and Inertia of FX could further hurt JPY.
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Bank of England to dominate the week
The new central bank hierarchy, US recession probability splits asset classes, and the BoE is unlikely to push back against rate expectations.
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European policy rates at 22-year highs
Lagarde has convinced investors of a July hike, mixed data leaves another Fed hike on the table, and the pound benefiting from monetary divergence.
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Higher for longer increases recession risks
Fed pauses, but promises more rate hikes. China going against the monetary tide, and the dollar not as weak as expected.
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Fed to pause, skip or end the tightening cycle?
Disinflation to cause the Fed to pause, euro needs more than a cautious Fed, and the UK economy expands in April but trend less clear.
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A day with three surprises
Weaker inflation weighing on the dollar, hot labor market pushes pound higher, the PBoC is coming to the Euro’s rescue.