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Aussie back to one-week highs after Trump–Albanese meeting

Trump, Albo meet. China GDP hangs on. Euro, GBP slip.

Avatar of Steven DooleyAvatar of Shier Lee Lim

Written by: Steven DooleyShier Lee Lim
The Market Insights Team

Trump, Albo meet

The Australian dollar rose on Monday after a mostly successful meeting between US president Donald Trump and Australian prime minister Anthony Albanese.

President Trump reaffirmed his support for the AUKUS defence pact and signed a deal to expand the supply of rare earths produced in Australia.

The AUD/USD gained 0.2%.

The NZD/USD also rose, up 0.3% after September quarter headline inflation was reported at 3.0% — up from 2.7% in the previous quarter and right at the top of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s inflation-targeting band.

October 2025 chart showing AUD/USD below 200-day MA in bearish sign

China GDP hangs on

Chinese September-quarter annualised GDP slightly beat expectations, coming in at 4.8% versus 4.7% expected, though down from the previous quarter’s 5.2%.

Chinese growth has held up relatively well despite this year’s geopolitical tensions. Surprisingly, exports have been the major driver, with Chinese export volumes to Latin America, Africa, India and ASEAN countries all hitting records in 2025.

The USD/CNH was steady after the release.

The USD/SGD fell 0.2%.

October 2025 chart showing China's exports to the USA have plunged since tariffs

Euro, GBP fall from recent highs

The euro and GBP both fell on Monday, with their biggest losses seen across APAC.

EUR and GBP had strengthened last week on hopes the US Federal Reserve might cut rates at its 29 October meeting. The rally saw the euro climb to three-year highs versus the SGD and 15-year highs versus the NZD. The AUD/EUR hit a six-month low.

The GBP also gained.

Overnight, the euro and GBP reversed, signalling a shift in technical momentum that could see further declines this week. Both AUD/EUR and AUD/GBP have moved into short-term technical uptrends after reaching new lows last week.

October 2025 chart showing safe havens outperformed over last week

EUR, GBP reverse from highs

Table: seven-day rolling currency trends and trading ranges  

21 October 2025 table: Seven-day rolling currency trends and trading ranges  

Key global risk events

Calendar: 20 – 25 October  

Key global risk events calendar 20 - 25 October 2025

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*The FX rates published are provided by Convera’s Market Insights team for research purposes only. The rates have a unique source and may not align to any live exchange rates quoted on other sites. They are not an indication of actual buy/sell rates, or a financial offer.

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