Topic: Foreign Exchange
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Trade deadline nears, pressure mounts
Stronger-than-expected US jobs cut Fed rate odds to 5%, while July 9 tariffs loom over stalled global trade talks.
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Global FX Outlook for July: Dollar dips, tariff tensions rise
Download the Global FX outlook for July to understand key trends, Fed signals and tariff risks that could impact your payments strategy.
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Dovish drift, dollar drift
Geopolitical tensions eased and equities rallied, weakening the dollar. Dovish Fed commentary and speculation over Powell’s succession added pressure, pushing the euro above $1.17 and lifting most G10 currencies.
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Risk runs on fuel
Geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices lifted the dollar, while surprise rate cuts in Europe contrasted with the Fed’s hawkish tone. The BoE held steady, but soft UK data and dovish vote split signalled easing ahead.
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Geopolitical risks roar back into focus
Israel’s strike on Iran sent oil and volatility surging, overshadowing softer US inflation and tariff risks.
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Less trade drama, more macro action
Markets cheer US-China trade talks, but weak US data, tech turmoil, and diverging central bank signals keep pressure on the dollar and risk sentiment cautious.
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