Region: Europe
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Market mood remains sour
No relief as dollar hits 2026 high. UK stagflation fears mount, pound falls. Surging oil prices drags euro to seven-month low.
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Calm inflation meets choppy crude
CPI delivers calm, geopolitics steals the spotlight. Sterling resilience has limits. Still reliant on sustained energy flows.
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Volatility stays anchored in the headlines
Oil big swings on headline shifts. De-escalation is best for euro. Pound’s next test sits near $1.35.
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Relief rally limited while Hormuz remains shut
Oil-driven dollar strength fades. Euro rebounds from four-month low. Pound’s positioning buffer.
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No signs of de-escalation
Strong dollar, shaky foundations. Hawkish repricing ignites as inflation risks rise. Stagflation fears are back on the agenda.
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Payrolls to play second fiddle to geopolitics
What past crises tell us, and what matters next. Why is the euro under pressure? Pound’s yield advantage but risk-off trap still open.