Topic: FX Weekly Report
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Risk-off ahead of the US job report
Global equities fell as bond yields and the US dollar weakened on mixed economic date from the US, Europe, and China. The S&P 500 dropped 2.6%, marking its first decline in over a month. The Bank of Canada cut its policy rate to 4.25%, citing economic concerns.
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Markets consolidate before a big week
Equities fell after Nvidia’s revenue forecast missed expectations, while a rebounding dollar tempered risk appetite. Markets expect Fed rate cuts, driving the dollar towards its worst monthly drop since November.
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Greenback losing its appeal
Equity benchmarks near record highs as the US dollar drops for a 5th week. Market sentiment remains focused on expected policy easing, with the ECB’s potential September cut bolstered by a dip in wage growth.
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Volatility mean reversing
Global equities rose for a second week as US inflation fell to 2.9%, boosting optimism for a Fed rate cut in September. The Nasdaq and Topix surged 12% and 22%, respectively. UK job creation exceeded expectations, hinting at further Bank of England rate cuts.
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Volatile week followed up by big macro week
Monday saw major sell-offs in popular trades, with sharp declines in the Nasdaq and USD/JPY. Dovish comments from the Bank of Japan and strong U.S. data later stabilized markets. Uncertainty remains as investors await the Federal Reserve’s next moves.
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Bad data stopped being good news
Central banks are diverging in policy: the Fed left rates unchanged, the Bank of England began easing. Despite this, lower yields driven by weaker growth persist, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield below 4%. Major stock indices declined amid rising recession fears and geopolitical tensions, while the yen strengthened against the dollar.
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